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Nvidia Singapore Sales: A Peek Behind the Curtain
Every tech company CFO knows the double Irish Dutch sandwich. Before you start fantasizing, no, this is not the theme of an OnlyFans...
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Mar 4, 20253 min read


Monthly rollup | February 2025
Stocks Mentioned Total (TTE), Venture Global (VG), Cheniere Energy (LNG), Tellurian (TELL), MicroStrategy (MSTR), Microsoft (MSFT), Tesla...
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Mar 1, 202513 min read
The $1.5 billion Ethereum heist
Note: This was originally published on Feb 23, 2025, in the premium newsletter for paid subscribers Two days ago, crypto exchange Bybit experienced a hack. The hackers, purported to be the North Korean hacker group named Lazarus, drained the exchange of $1.46 billion worth of Ethereum. Once the hack became public, Bybit users scrambled to withdraw funds, draining the exchange of an additional $4 billion. There is now talk of "rolling back" the ethereum network to ineffectuate
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Feb 23, 20253 min read


Thinking through the risks
Nassim Taleb, a derivatives trader turned writer, coined the term “anti-fragile”. Fragile objects break easily. Durable or sturdy objects...
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Feb 7, 20253 min read


Monthly rollup | January 2025
Stocks Mentioned SonicShares Global Shipping ETF (BOAT), Bitcoin Miners ETF (WGMI), New Fortress Energy (NFE), Nvidia (NVDA), Schwab...
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Feb 1, 202516 min read


Trump, Hoover, and the Roaring ‘20s Deja vu
This post compares Trump’s policies to the 1920s, forecasting shifts in the global economic landscape.
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Jan 22, 20258 min read


Via Negativa: Avoiding Recency Bias
A lot of people on FinTwit are once again trashing hedge funds and their 2/20 model because these funds failed to beat the SPX. This...
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Jan 5, 20252 min read
What do James Cordier and Michael Saylor have in common?
People buying bitcoin with their hard earned dollars, even though they don't understand it and feel in their hearts that something is...
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Jan 4, 20252 min read


Monthly rollup | December 2024
Stocks Mentioned Valaris (VAL), Transocean (RIG), Seadrill (SDRL), Noble (NE), Borr Drilling (BORR), Saipem (SPM.MI), TotalEnergies...
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Jan 1, 202522 min read


Preparing for a Minsky Moment
My first degree was in engineering. I grew up liking the natural sciences and thought the social sciences were full of crap – too touchy feely and unobjective. That changed when I started preparing for business school and my then mentor suggested I read Ayn Rand. From there I discovered Ludwig von Mises, the Austrian school of economics, and realized economics was as objective as a natural science when seen through the Austrian lens. Once I read Murray Rothbard’s Man, Economy
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Dec 16, 20247 min read
Choose Crypto, Not Bitcoin Core
I made the below client presentation back in March to explain why I'm no longer bullish bitcoin even though I like crypto. Today morning,...
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Dec 14, 20246 min read


Monthly rollup | November 2024
Stocks Mentioned Nvidia (NVDA), Blackstone (BX), Resolute Mining (RSG.AX), Barrick (GOLD), B2Gold (BTG), Super Micro Computer (SMCI),...
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Dec 1, 202417 min read
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