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Monthly rollup | February 2025
Stocks Mentioned Total (TTE), Venture Global (VG), Cheniere Energy (LNG), Tellurian (TELL), MicroStrategy (MSTR), Microsoft (MSFT), Tesla...
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Mar 113 min read


Thinking through the risks
Nassim Taleb, a derivatives trader turned writer, coined the term “anti-fragile”. Fragile objects break easily. Durable or sturdy objects...
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Feb 73 min read


Monthly rollup | January 2025
Stocks Mentioned SonicShares Global Shipping ETF (BOAT), Bitcoin Miners ETF (WGMI), New Fortress Energy (NFE), Nvidia (NVDA), Schwab...
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Feb 116 min read


Trump, Hoover, and the Roaring ‘20s Deja vu
This post compares Trump’s policies to the 1920s, forecasting shifts in the global economic landscape.
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Jan 228 min read


Via Negativa: Avoiding Recency Bias
A lot of people on FinTwit are once again trashing hedge funds and their 2/20 model because these funds failed to beat the SPX. This...
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Jan 52 min read
What do James Cordier and Michael Saylor have in common?
People buying bitcoin with their hard earned dollars, even though they don't understand it and feel in their hearts that something is...
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Jan 42 min read


Monthly rollup | December 2024
Stocks Mentioned Valaris (VAL), Transocean (RIG), Seadrill (SDRL), Noble (NE), Borr Drilling (BORR), Saipem (SPM.MI), TotalEnergies...
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Jan 1, 202522 min read


Preparing for a Minsky Moment
My first degree was in engineering. I grew up liking the natural sciences and thought the social sciences were full of crap – too touchy...
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Dec 16, 20247 min read
Choose Crypto, Not Bitcoin Core
I made the below client presentation back in March to explain why I'm no longer bullish bitcoin even though I like crypto. Today morning,...
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Dec 14, 20246 min read


Monthly rollup | November 2024
Stocks Mentioned Nvidia (NVDA), Blackstone (BX), Resolute Mining (RSG.AX), Barrick (GOLD), B2Gold (BTG), Super Micro Computer (SMCI),...
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Dec 1, 202417 min read


Skeena Resources - Trade Idea
This was originally posted for paid subscribers in the premium newsletter on July 03, 2024 For timely, actionable ideas, subscribe ...
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Nov 18, 20246 min read


Thoughts on GOLD
It’s the question on top of everyone’s minds: is the gold bull market, which began in October 2023, over? Few things to note from the...
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Nov 17, 20242 min read
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